ECFA: Who Will Benefit From It?

A funny and interesting editorial cartoon in the today Taipei Times:


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Taiwan: ECFA Is Magic!

You got a flu? ECFA will cure it.

You want to protect your car? Sure, according the way people are driving here, it’s better! How to do? Easy: Write on a piece of paper the word ECFA and stick it on your rear mirror. Done!

Employment statistics are not good enough? Guess the answer: yes, you are good! ECFA!

5 Elections in 3 months and guess what: precisely in those 5 areas, the ECFA (did I mentioned that ECFA is magic?) will provide 34,009 jobs.

34,009 jobs, not 34,000 or 34,100 or 34,010 but… yes, you read it, 34,009 jobs!

Why not 34,010? Don’t ask me 🙂

And wait, not everywhere “34,009” jobs will be created, but just in the 5 areas where elections will be held on November.

Whaoh! Beautiful!

I told you, ECFA is magic.

At least, it is what the president (ahhhh whatever his title for the place is not considered as a country by him: “ECFA is not a treaty between countries”) said HERE.

What’s about in other areas?

Not important, no elections 🙂

Statistics here are very interesting…



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Taiwan, China, ECFA: A New TV Drama

Since a while, we have news about a very soon (June) signed-ECFA or a delayed signed-ECFA.

Monday: will be signed on June.

Tuesday: few chance to be signed on June.

Wednesday: good chance to be signed on June.

Thursday: Just forget it!

Friday: it will be done on June…

Saturday: we are negotiating…

Sunday: no deal yet!

A TV drama!


Of course, all come from government’s members (according recent News).

And today (HERE), the Premier said the opposite of what he did few days ago:


ECFA to be signed late June or in early July


How come could we have different outcomes everyday?

So more or less, China will accept (for the "early harvest" list) 500 items from Taiwan and the latter one, 200 from China.

Anyway, we don’t know about the details (again!) but according the Premier, the 500 items represent 15% of the Taiwanese export to China.


Any figures?

What’s about the 200 to Taiwan?

No word.

What if the 200 represent 50% of the Chinese export to Taiwan?

So, not only every day, we have a sort of “TV drama” about the ECFA, but more the deal is about to be signed, less we know about it.

Beside, why does the government need to communicate by this way?

On a everyday basis?

Obviously, it seems to be a PR campaign.

If you missed your favorite drama, watch the news!



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It’s Not a Donkey. It’s a Horse!

Sometimes, I just like to read the news, avoiding to react immediately.

And more than once within a week, we can see connections between some of them.

This week is no exception.

Anyway as usual, most of the news concern ECFA, the link between Taiwanese administration and China, the connections between the underground world and politics and finally of course, justice.

One of the big news (but not “new”) is the connection between politicians, the police and gangsters and the late example is Taichung.

For my readers who do not live in Taiwan, here is the point (sources HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE):


Four police officers were at the crime scene when gang leader Weng Chi-nan died in a shower of bullets in central Taiwan’s Taichung City May 28


You may ask yourself what those officers were doing at the crime scene: investigating? Arresting? Protecting? As any police officer is supposed to do?



The four police officers were reportedly playing mahjong there and hid under a table when Weng was shot



Any serious punishment? No.

And the chief of the police in Taichung tried to cover up the presence of the four officers. Finally, he resigned yesterday.

It is a well known fact that gangsters are linked to local politics and KMT (the party in power) since a long time (see the article from AP in Yahoo News – in the above sources).

And those links show no sign of disappearing anytime soon.

But of course, elections are coming, so the Taiwanese administration must plays some PR games, by sending police commandos (41 officers) to Taichung.

After a while, everything will be as usual forgotten and life will return as it was before.

The only ones facing tough punishments and prosecutions are the members of the opposition party (DPP).

See, one example among so many (HERE):


Legislative Speaker Wang Jin-pyng (王金平) yesterday urged prosecutors to seek lighter punishment for a former Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislator who was barred from leaving the country for allegedly pocketing salaries paid to legislative aides during his tenure


The Legislative Speaker… not a small potato…

So what did the Speaker offer as an excuse?


“He might have violated the law because he did not understand the regulations,” Wang told reporters at the legislature. “I hope prosecutors can take this into consideration when dealing with the case. He did not intend to pocket the money.”



Taipei prosecutors said Kwan suspiciously used four relatives’ names to claim NT$4 million in payments for legislative aides during his two terms. He might also be accused of corruption and forgery, they said.

But still, the Speaker asked from the prosecutors, a lighter punishment.

Obviously when one is facing justice in Taiwan, it is better to be a member of the KMT than the opposition party.

About the ECFA, the Chinese position is very clear and published in all international news: the ECFA is a step to unification.

But the Taiwanese administration is saying that it is only about economic.

Who can believe that?

See all the changes in Taiwan since 2 years: Taiwan is becoming closer and closer to China.

One example?

All countries are condemning North Korea after a special investigation (conducted by international experts, not only by South Korean) found evidence accusing North Korea.

But China, the only strong ally of North Korea refused to join.

And guess what: Taiwan, in line with Beijing’s response, did not condemn North Korea either.

Are you surprised?


Reports (HERE) said that a horde of retired military officers, led by former Admiral Huang Hsing-chiang, arrived in China to play golf with former officers of People’s Liberation Army.

And of course, they will only talk about golf…

The funny (?) thing is that only Ma and his administration consider that nothing changed and the ECFA will be the road to the Taiwanese heaven.

Ma and the KMT told to the people that the ECFA will allow Taiwan to sign FTA’s with other countries. So Taiwanese should not be afraid of signing this ECFA.

Except… (HERE, HERE and HERE)


In an official overture, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Ma Zhaoxu (馬朝旭) told a routine press briefing on Monday in Beijing that China “strongly opposes any official ties in any format that Taiwan might develop [with other countries], although it is not against any unofficial trade ties between Taiwan and China’s diplomatic allies.”


China has revealed its true colors. One more time.

How did Ma and his administration react?

They said that whatever the Chinese’s position, they will sign FTA’s with other countries.


They want to let the Taiwanese believe that other countries will not be afraid of the Chinese reaction…

They totally refuse to admit the evidence.

Even if they see a donkey, they will deny: “it’s a horse!” 😆

Obviously, Ma et al. have an agenda…

Many economists and experts worry about the consequences of the ECFA on the Taiwanese economy.

But Ma and his administration is obviously in a hurry to ink the trade pact and therefore buries its head in the sand whenever this question is raised.

Moreover, as it is already the case (I forgot where I read it), Taiwanese goods can only enter into Chinese clearance with a place of origin recorded as “Taiwan, China”.

Taiwanese companies worked very hard and the “Made in Taiwan” is now recognized as a synonym of quality, while the “Made in China” brings images of bad quality, and dangerous products. What will happen after the ECFA is signed? Anymore “Made in Taiwan”?

Beside, the Taiwanese economy since 2 years is not improving at least at the public finance level (HERE and HERE):

After two years of President Ma and his KMT administration, government debt has exploded by more than NT$700 billion.

And the government is seeking now to amend the law to relax regulations for the debt ceilings of central and local governments…

Obviously, the government’s claim that the reduction of gift and business income taxes and a trade pact with China would boost domestic investment and increase tax revenues is apparently a lie: if tax revenue was supposed to increase, why does the government need to increase the debt ceiling?

Moreover, is the government hiding facts or manipulating statistics?


Ministry of Finance statistics show the government’s public debt is forecast to reach NT$4.6 trillion at the end of this year, accounting for 35.2 percent of GNP — only 4.8 percentage points from its debt ceiling.
However, Chien Hsi-chieh (簡錫土皆), another AFTR spokesman, accused the government of hiding the truth from the public by falsifying accounts of its debt, saying that the real situation was far worse.
“Taiwan’s public debt actually accounts for 116 percent of its GDP, or NT$15 trillion, based on an estimate of the statistics center at the legislature,” Chien said, adding that it is almost double the 60 percent debt ceiling set by the IMF


If the above figures are correct, debts represent about TWD 750,000 (about USD 24,000) per Taiwanese citizen, including babies…

Will Taiwan become the Asian Greece before being unified to China?

As asked in one of the above sources: is Taiwanese administration a fool or a fervent supporter of the Greater China ideology?

In other words: it’s not a donkey. It’s a horse!


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Taiwan, China, ECFA and… My Birthday

You may wonder, what could be the link between Taiwan, China, ECFA and my birthday…

Seems strange, as a title… 🙂

Today, it is April 25th, my birthday.

Today, there is a TV debate between the Chairman of the political party in charge – KMT(who is also the President of Taiwan at least if he is not talking to Chinese in which case, his title becomes Mr. Ma) and the Chairwoman of the opposition party – DPP.

A debate about what? About the ECFA between Taiwan and China, economic agreement which will be signed, whatever the opinion of the Taiwanese.

If you look at the news in China, officials from the Chinese government always clearly mentioned that the ECFA is a first step toward unification.

But the Taiwanese government and KMT seem to totally avoid to detail this fact to the Taiwanese people.

We do not need to feel surprised about it. The simple fact Taiwanese officials mention the potential unification in a more or less far future between China and Taiwan is enough for us to understand that obviously the KMT is in favor of such a political move.

Obviously, the big majority of the Taiwanese are against it. So how the KMT may put forward its hidden agenda?

When Taiwan will be totally dependant to the Chinese economy, the game will be over.

And the Taiwanese democracy too.

It seems that the Chinese Communist Party and the KMT are having the same agenda, as illustrated by the Editorial cartoon in Taipei Times (April 22 20190):

The government is so proud of the “new diplomatic policy of Ma”,citing for example Taiwan been an observer in the WHA.

Every normal person understand that it is the case only because the conditional approval from China.

But this year, it is the first time that US had officially showed that Taiwan’s participation in the WHA was fully contingent on approval by Beijing (HERE).

If something is getting wrong, of course China will not renew it.

How many times we could read in the news, Taiwanese officials saying that after the ECFA is signed, Taiwan will be able to sign FTA with other countries.

Who is so naive to believe that?

The ECFA is leading to a common market, concept promoted by the actual vice-president of Taiwan since 2000 as a recent editorial mentioned (HERE):


During an exclusive interview with Mexico’s largest newspaper, the Sun News on Aug. 26, 2008, President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) said that the cross-strait relationship was not a matter of relations between countries, but rather a matter of relations between regions. By making this claim, he diminished Taiwan to a region, which was a clear hint at his preparedness to signing an ECFA


By the way, Google published the Data or Removal Requests made by countries (seems to still be in a beta version) (HERE).

We can observe that all the countries let this information been freely published except China… Surprised?

KMT is siding with China. So does it mean that KMT approves the Chinese system?

Tim Maddog put on his Twitter (HERE) the first polls after the debate which is just now finished:


ETTV (pro-Chinese KMT) asks: Do you support ECFA? Yes: 6,762 (76%); No: 2,080 (24%)

CTiTV (pro-China/Chinese KMT) asks: Who’s winning the debate? Ma: 31,573 (79%); Tsai: 8,490 (21%)

SET (supposedly green): Do you support ECFA? NO: 92,465; Yes: 14,356. SET has the highest number of participants of the three I listed.

ETTV + CTiTV’s survey participants (48,905) = less than half of SET’s (106,821). What does that tell you? .@fvarga

SET has started a new poll after the end of the debate: "Who do you think did a better job?" So far it’s Tsai: 15,983; Ma: 981.


It seems that people are awakening?

Let’s see.




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Taiwan: Is the ECFA a Bad Suit?

The fellow was being sold a very cheap suit.

"But the left arm is a lot longer than the right arm," he complained.

"That’s why the suit is such a bargain," the sales clerk explained.

"Just cock your left shoulder up a little, like this, and tuck this left lapel under your chin a bit, like this."

"But the right leg is way too short," argued the customer.

"No problem," the sales clerk answered. "Just keep your right knee bent a little at all times, walk like this, and no one will notice.

That’s why this suit is only thirty dollars."

Finally, the fellow bought the suit, cocked his left shoulder into the air, tucked the suit’s left lapel under his chin, bent his right knee, and limped out of the store toward his car.

Two doctors happened along and noticed him.

"Good heavens," the first doctor said to the second, "look at that poor crippled fellow."

"Yeah," answered the second doctor.

"But doesn’t that suit fit great?"

Taipei Times Editorial Cartoon

Some people believe that the government is the clerk and the ECFA the suit.


Except that people believe that the one who is wearing the suit won’t look so good…

And obviously as the cartoon indicates, the clerk is fishing to find more buyers…




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